A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alejandro Moro Canas goes up against Jay Clarke in the Biella semifinal. Alejandro Moro Canas is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Jay Clarke has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Canas comes in off a compressed schedule; Clarke comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Canas fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alejandro Moro Canas | Jay Clarke |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.5% | 57.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.4% | 67.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 48.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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