A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alejandro Moro Canas goes up against Marco Cecchinato in the Porto 2 round of 16. Marco Cecchinato comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Alejandro Moro Canas is 5-5 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cecchinato is exactly that — a lean.