Thiago Monteiro won 6-3 7-6
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 52% on Thiago Monteiro, who won 6-3 7-6.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alejandro Moro Canas goes up against Thiago Monteiro in the Lisbon round of 32. Thiago Monteiro has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Alejandro Moro Canas has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.
Monteiro's 72% behind the first serve (against 65.5% for Canas) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Monteiro is exactly that — a lean.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alejandro Moro Canas | Thiago Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.3% | 64.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.5% | 72% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.1% | 51.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.