A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Alexander Zverev in the US Open round of 32. Alexander Zverev comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo is 5-5 across recent matches.

Alexander Zverev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Zverev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.