Bastad · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 18, 2026, 12:40 PM UTC

Alejandro Tabilo vs. Andrey Rublev — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 18, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Andrey Rublev won 6-4 4-6 6-4 · Jul 18, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC

A miss: Alejandro Tabilo at 52% lost to Andrey Rublev (6-4 4-6 6-4). It stays up, like every other miss.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Andrey Rublev in the Bastad semifinal. Alejandro Tabilo has won 6 of the last 10. Andrey Rublev comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Alejandro Tabilo leads the head-to-head 2-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Rublev comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tabilo is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alejandro Tabilo

1844

Andrey Rublev

1925

Overall rating

Alejandro Tabilo

1852

Andrey Rublev

1902

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alejandro Tabilo	Andrey Rublev
1st serve in	64.5%	59.3%
1st serve points won	71%	74.2%
2nd serve points won	48.4%	51.3%

Form

Alejandro Tabilo

6–4

Andrey Rublev

7–3

Head to head

Alejandro Tabilo leads the head-to-head 2-1.

Full Tabilo vs Rublev history →

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Alejandro Tabilo vs Andrey Rublev at Bastad?: Andrey Rublev won 6-4 4-6 6-4.
Was the Alejandro Tabilo vs Andrey Rublev prediction correct?: A miss: Alejandro Tabilo at 52% lost to Andrey Rublev (6-4 4-6 6-4). It stays up, like every other miss.
What is the head-to-head record between Alejandro Tabilo and Andrey Rublev?: Alejandro Tabilo leads the head-to-head 2-1.