Saturday's Tokyo round of 16 pits Alejandro Tabilo against Denis Shapovalov on hard. Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of the last 10. Alejandro Tabilo is 4-6 across recent matches.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Denis Shapovalov — preview and prediction
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alejandro Tabilo
1806
Denis Shapovalov
1900
Overall rating
Alejandro Tabilo
1877
Denis Shapovalov
1874
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alejandro Tabilo | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.9% | 58.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 74.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.3% | 50.1% |
Form
Alejandro Tabilo
4–6
Denis Shapovalov
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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All Tokyo predictions →Frequently asked questions
- When does Maiden's pick for Alejandro Tabilo vs Denis Shapovalov open?
- Maiden's pick and win probability for Alejandro Tabilo vs Denis Shapovalov open to everyone an hour after first serve and stay on the public record, graded after the match. Maiden Pro members see them before the match.
- When and where is Alejandro Tabilo vs Denis Shapovalov?
- Tokyo round of 16, October 3, 2026, on hard.