Wednesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Alejandro Tabilo against Hubert Hurkacz on hard. Hubert Hurkacz brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo has won 4 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.8% of first-serve points to Tabilo's 71.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Hurkacz fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alejandro Tabilo | Hubert Hurkacz |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 63.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 75.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.9% | 49.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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