Washington · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 2, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 2, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Rafael Jodar won 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4

Nailed it. We had Rafael Jodar at 54% before the match, and Rafael Jodar won 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4.

Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar meet in the semifinal at Washington on Sunday. Rafael Jodar has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Alejandro Tabilo is 4-6 across recent matches.

Rafael Jodar simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Tabilo comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jodar is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Alejandro Tabilo

1796

Rafael Jodar

1898

Overall rating

Alejandro Tabilo

1866

Rafael Jodar

2070

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alejandro Tabilo	Rafael Jodar
1st serve in	64.3%	61.9%
1st serve points won	71.1%	69.2%
2nd serve points won	48%	51.7%

Form

Alejandro Tabilo

4–6

Rafael Jodar

8–2

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at Washington?: Rafael Jodar won 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4.
Was the Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Rafael Jodar at 54% before the match, and Rafael Jodar won 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4.