Tuesday's Los Cabos round of 32 pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Cameron Norrie on hard. Cameron Norrie is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (4 of the last 10). Aleksandar Kovacevic is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Aleksandar Kovacevic has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Cameron Norrie. On hard specifically it reads 2-0 Kovacevic — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Norrie fractionally more likely to land the big points.