Hamburg · QF · Clay · best of 3 · May 21, 2026, 5:15 PM UTC

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 21, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Aleksandar Kovacevic won 6-4 6-7 6-2 · May 21, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC

We got this one right. Aleksandar Kovacevic was our 67% pick, and won 6-4 6-7 6-2.

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli meet in the quarterfinal at Hamburg on Thursday. Aleksandar Kovacevic is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 6-4 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Aleksandar Kovacevic, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Camilo Ugo Carabelli. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Kovacevic — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.6% versus 67% on first-serve points in Kovacevic's favor. Kovacevic should have enough here, though Carabelli has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Aleksandar Kovacevic

1464

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1697

Overall rating

Aleksandar Kovacevic

1649

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1715

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Aleksandar Kovacevic	Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1st serve in	59.8%	60.8%
1st serve points won	75.6%	67%
2nd serve points won	50.1%	47.1%

Form

Aleksandar Kovacevic

5–5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

6–4

Head to head

Aleksandar Kovacevic leads the head-to-head 2-0. On clay: 1-0 Aleksandar Kovacevic.

Full Kovacevic vs Carabelli history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at Hamburg?: Aleksandar Kovacevic won 6-4 6-7 6-2.
Was the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction correct?: We got this one right. Aleksandar Kovacevic was our 67% pick, and won 6-4 6-7 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli?: Aleksandar Kovacevic leads the head-to-head 2-0. On clay: 1-0 Aleksandar Kovacevic.