Thursday's Chengdu round of 32 pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Lloyd Harris on hard. Lloyd Harris has won 5 of the last 10. Aleksandar Kovacevic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Lloyd Harris is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Harris around 51%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Harris fractionally more likely to land the big points.