Matteo Berrettini won 6-7 6-1 6-4
Nailed it. We had Matteo Berrettini at 62% before the match, and Matteo Berrettini won 6-7 6-1 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Aleksandar Kovacevic goes up against Matteo Berrettini in the Shanghai first round. Matteo Berrettini has won 5 of the last 10. Aleksandar Kovacevic is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).
Matteo Berrettini is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Berrettini around 62%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Berrettini.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Matteo Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.4% | 63.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 75.2% | 76.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.6% | 51.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.