A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Aleksandar Kovacevic goes up against Valentin Vacherot in the US Open first round. Valentin Vacherot has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 4 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Vacherot fractionally more likely to land the big points.