Sunday's Granby semifinal pits Aleksandar Vukic against August Holmgren on hard. August Holmgren is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Aleksandar Vukic has won 4 of the last 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

The serve is where this match separates: Holmgren has been winning 76.6% of first-serve points to Vukic's 73.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Vukic arrives with very little recovery time; Holmgren comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Holmgren is exactly that — a lean.