Rei Sakamoto won 6-4 6-7 6-4 3-6 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 51% on Aleksandar Vukic; Rei Sakamoto won 6-4 6-7 6-4 3-6 6-4.
Aleksandar Vukic and Rei Sakamoto meet in the first round at US Open on Monday. Aleksandar Vukic is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Rei Sakamoto has won 5 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Vukic fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Aleksandar Vukic | Rei Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59% | 62.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 73.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.9% | 49.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.