Todi · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Aug 13, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC
Alex Barrena vs Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 13, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Alex Barrena won 6-2 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 50% on Alex Barrena, who won 6-2 6-3.
Thursday's Todi round of 16 pits Alex Barrena against Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano on clay. Alex Barrena has won 5 of the last 10. Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Alex Barrena simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Barrena is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Alex Barrena
1665
Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano
1514
Overall rating
Alex Barrena
1666
Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano
1509
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alex Barrena
Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano
1st serve in
60.2%
63.9%
1st serve points won
64.1%
63.9%
2nd serve points won
49.8%
47.6%
Form
Alex Barrena
5–5
Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alex Barrena vs Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano at Todi?
Alex Barrena won 6-2 6-3.
Was the Alex Barrena vs Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 50% on Alex Barrena, who won 6-2 6-3.