Alex Barrena and Juan Pablo Ficovich meet in the round of 16 at Buenos Aires 3 on Thursday. Alex Barrena is 7-3 across recent matches. Juan Pablo Ficovich has won 1 of the last 10.

Alex Barrena is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Barrena around 58%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Barrena is exactly that — a lean.