Antofagasta · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 6, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC
Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 6, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 7-5 6-3
We got this one right. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida was our 50% pick, and won 7-5 6-3.
Tuesday's Antofagasta round of 32 pits Alex Barrena against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is 4-6 across recent matches. Alex Barrena brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Almeida gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Alex Barrena
1665
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1684
Overall rating
Alex Barrena
1666
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1635
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alex Barrena
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1st serve in
61%
63.1%
1st serve points won
64%
64.7%
2nd serve points won
48.8%
48.9%
Form
Alex Barrena
8–2
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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