Thursday's Trieste round of 16 pits Alex Barrena against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo on clay. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Alex Barrena is 4-6 across recent matches.
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Izquierdo around 60%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Izquierdo fractionally more likely to land the big points.