Alex Barrena and Stefano Napolitano meet in the round of 16 at Cordenons on Thursday. Stefano Napolitano comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alex Barrena comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
The serve is where this match separates: Napolitano has been winning 71.1% of first-serve points to Barrena's 63.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Napolitano.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Barrena | Stefano Napolitano |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.2% | 60.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.7% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.1% | 55.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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