Alex Bolt won 6-3 7-6(3)
Nailed it. We had Alex Bolt at 56% before the match, and Alex Bolt won 6-3 7-6(3).
Friday's Jingshan quarterfinal pits Alex Bolt against Dane Sweeny on hard. Alex Bolt has won 3 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Bolt has been winning 70.3% of first-serve points to Sweeny's 66%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Bolt arrives with very little recovery time; Sweeny comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bolt is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Bolt | Dane Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.9% | 62.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.3% | 66% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51% | 49.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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