A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against Alex Molcan in the Shanghai round of 64. Alex De Minaur brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Alex Molcan is 5-5 across recent matches.
Minaur's 69% behind the first serve (against 65.5% for Molcan) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Minaur.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex De Minaur | Alex Molcan |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.4% | 65.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 69% | 65.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 50.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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