Alexander Zverev won 6-4 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 64% on Alexander Zverev, who won 6-4 6-4.
Thursday's Shanghai quarterfinal pits Alex De Minaur against Alexander Zverev on hard. Alexander Zverev has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Alex De Minaur is rolling — 8 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.
Zverev's 73.7% behind the first serve (against 69% for Minaur) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zverev.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex De Minaur | Alexander Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.4% | 68.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 69% | 73.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 47.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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