Alex De Minaur and Andrea Guerrieri meet in the first round at US Open on Wednesday. Alex De Minaur comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Andrea Guerrieri comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Minaur has been winning 69% of first-serve points to Guerrieri's 65.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Minaur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex De Minaur | Andrea Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.4% | 64.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 69% | 65.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 45.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocks