Friday's Hertogenbosch quarterfinal pits Alex De Minaur against Benjamin Bonzi on grass. Alex De Minaur is 6-4 across recent matches. Benjamin Bonzi brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.
The ledger favors Alex De Minaur, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Benjamin Bonzi.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Minaur fractionally more likely to land the big points.