Botic Van De Zandschulp won 6-4 7-5 6-2
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 64% on Alex De Minaur; Botic Van De Zandschulp won 6-4 7-5 6-2.
Alex De Minaur and Botic Van De Zandschulp meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Alex De Minaur is 6-4 across recent matches. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 7 of the last 10.
Alex De Minaur is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Minaur around 64%. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Minaur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex De Minaur | Botic Van De Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.4% | 62.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 69% | 72% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 47.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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