Carlos Alcaraz won 6-1 6-4
Nailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 72% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 6-1 6-4.
It all comes down to Sunday at Vienna, where Alex De Minaur faces Carlos Alcaraz for the trophy. Carlos Alcaraz has won 3 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Alex De Minaur is rolling — 3 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.
Carlos Alcaraz is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Alcaraz around 72%. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule; Alcaraz comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Alcaraz.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex De Minaur | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.4% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won | 69% | 69.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 54.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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