Hamburg · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · May 18, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC

Alex De Minaur vs. Francisco Cerundolo — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 18, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Alex De Minaur won 3-6 6-4 5-3 · May 18, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC

Graded: incorrect. We had Francisco Cerundolo at 56%, but Alex De Minaur won 3-6 6-4 5-3. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against Francisco Cerundolo in the Hamburg round of 32. Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10. Alex De Minaur has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

The ledger favors Alex De Minaur, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Francisco Cerundolo. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Minaur — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Cerundolo gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alex De Minaur

1827

Francisco Cerundolo

1823

Overall rating

Alex De Minaur

1947

Francisco Cerundolo

1871

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alex De Minaur	Francisco Cerundolo
1st serve in	57.4%	63.2%
1st serve points won	68.9%	66.9%
2nd serve points won	52.8%	51%

Form

Alex De Minaur

6–4

Francisco Cerundolo

6–4

Head to head

Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 2-1. On clay: 1-0 Alex De Minaur.

Full Minaur vs Cerundolo history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alex De Minaur vs Francisco Cerundolo at Hamburg?: Alex De Minaur won 3-6 6-4 5-3.
Was the Alex De Minaur vs Francisco Cerundolo prediction correct?: Graded: incorrect. We had Francisco Cerundolo at 56%, but Alex De Minaur won 3-6 6-4 5-3. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.
What is the head-to-head record between Alex De Minaur and Francisco Cerundolo?: Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 2-1. On clay: 1-0 Alex De Minaur.