Alex De Minaur and James Duckworth meet in the round of 64 at Montreal on Tuesday. Alex De Minaur comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. James Duckworth has won 5 of the last 10.

Alex De Minaur is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Minaur around 65%. The edge belongs to Minaur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.