Alex De Minaur won 6-3 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 61% on Alex De Minaur, who won 6-3 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai round of 16. Alex De Minaur has won 7 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Karen Khachanov has won 8 of the last 10.
Alex De Minaur is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Minaur around 61%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Minaur.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex De Minaur | Karen Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.4% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won | 69% | 71.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 51.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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