Hamburg · QF · Clay · best of 3 · May 21, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC

Alex De Minaur vs. Luciano Darderi — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 21, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Alex De Minaur won 6-0 6-3 · May 21, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC

Graded: incorrect. We had Luciano Darderi at 68%, but Alex De Minaur won 6-0 6-3. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against Luciano Darderi in the Hamburg quarterfinal. Luciano Darderi is 7-3 across recent matches. Alex De Minaur has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Minaur — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Darderi — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alex De Minaur

1827

Luciano Darderi

1895

Overall rating

Alex De Minaur

1947

Luciano Darderi

1830

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alex De Minaur	Luciano Darderi
1st serve in	57.4%	58.9%
1st serve points won	68.9%	70.7%
2nd serve points won	52.8%	50.8%

Form

Alex De Minaur

6–4

Luciano Darderi

7–3

Head to head

Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Alex De Minaur.

Full Minaur vs Darderi history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alex De Minaur vs Luciano Darderi at Hamburg?: Alex De Minaur won 6-0 6-3.
Was the Alex De Minaur vs Luciano Darderi prediction correct?: Graded: incorrect. We had Luciano Darderi at 68%, but Alex De Minaur won 6-0 6-3. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.
What is the head-to-head record between Alex De Minaur and Luciano Darderi?: Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Alex De Minaur.