Tuesday brings the Beijing final: Alex De Minaur against Novak Djokovic. Novak Djokovic is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Alex De Minaur brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

Novak Djokovic simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Djokovic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.