Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the round of 32 at Washington on Wednesday. Alex De Minaur comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has had the better of this rivalry, winning 12 of 13 against Alex De Minaur. On hard specifically it reads 9-1 Tsitsipas — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Minaur is exactly that — a lean.