Arthur Fils won 4-6 6-3 7-6(5)
Nailed it. We had Arthur Fils at 61% before the match, and Arthur Fils won 4-6 6-3 7-6(5).
Thursday's Basel round of 16 pits Alex Michelsen against Arthur Fils on hard. Arthur Fils is 6-4 across recent matches. Alex Michelsen comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Fils has been winning 73.9% of first-serve points to Michelsen's 69.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Fils should have enough here, though Michelsen has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Michelsen | Arthur Fils |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.7% | 61.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.8% | 73.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.5% | 50.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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