Tuesday's Bloomfield Hills round of 32 pits Alex Michelsen against Arthur Gea on hard. Alex Michelsen comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Arthur Gea comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Alex Michelsen is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Michelsen around 60%. Little separates them; Michelsen gets the nod on the finest of margins.