Alex Michelsen won 5-7 6-3 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 57% on Alex Michelsen, who won 5-7 6-3 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Basel round of 32. Alex Michelsen is 6-4 across recent matches. Botic Van De Zandschulp limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Michelsen fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Michelsen | Botic Van De Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.7% | 62.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 71.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 47.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.