Alex Michelsen and Brandon Nakashima meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Wednesday. Brandon Nakashima comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Alex Michelsen comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Nakashima has been winning 74.5% of first-serve points to Michelsen's 69.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Nakashima fractionally more likely to land the big points.