Alex Michelsen and Brandon Nakashima meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Wednesday. Brandon Nakashima comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Alex Michelsen comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Nakashima has been winning 74.5% of first-serve points to Michelsen's 69.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Nakashima fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Michelsen | Brandon Nakashima |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.2% | 64.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 74.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.8% | 52.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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