Carlos Alcaraz won 7-6 4-6 6-1
We got this one right. Carlos Alcaraz was our 70% pick, and won 7-6 4-6 6-1.
Alex Michelsen and Carlos Alcaraz meet in the round of 32 at Tokyo on Thursday. Carlos Alcaraz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Alex Michelsen has won 7 of the last 10.
Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Alcaraz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Michelsen | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.7% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.1% | 69.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 54.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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