Montreal · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 7, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC
Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 7, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Daniel Merida Aguilar won 6-4 6-7 6-1
A miss: Alex Michelsen at 68% lost to Daniel Merida Aguilar (6-4 6-7 6-1).
Friday's Montreal round of 32 pits Alex Michelsen against Daniel Merida Aguilar on hard. Alex Michelsen is 9-1 across recent matches. Daniel Merida Aguilar is 7-3 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 69.8% versus 63.8% on first-serve points in Michelsen's favor. Michelsen should have enough here, though Aguilar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alex Michelsen
1946
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1910
Overall rating
Alex Michelsen
1942
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1940
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alex Michelsen
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1st serve in
66.5%
69.5%
1st serve points won
69.8%
63.8%
2nd serve points won
51.2%
47.2%
Form
Alex Michelsen
9–1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at Montreal?
Daniel Merida Aguilar won 6-4 6-7 6-1.
Was the Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction correct?
A miss: Alex Michelsen at 68% lost to Daniel Merida Aguilar (6-4 6-7 6-1).