Frances Tiafoe won 5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-6
Nailed it. We had Frances Tiafoe at 52% before the match, and Frances Tiafoe won 5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-6.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Frances Tiafoe in the US Open quarterfinal. Frances Tiafoe has won 4 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Alex Michelsen brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tiafoe fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Michelsen | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 66% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.1% | 72.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 51.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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