Wednesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Alex Michelsen against Francisco Cerundolo on hard. Alex Michelsen is 8-2 across recent matches. Francisco Cerundolo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten.
Michelsen's 69.8% behind the first serve (against 66.7% for Cerundolo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Michelsen is exactly that — a lean.