It all comes down to Sunday at Bloomfield Hills, where Alex Michelsen faces Jacob Fearnley for the trophy. Alex Michelsen is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Jacob Fearnley brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.

Jacob Fearnley has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Alex Michelsen.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Michelsen comes in off a compressed schedule; Fearnley comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Michelsen.