Alex Michelsen won 6-4 6-4
Nailed it. We had Alex Michelsen at 73% before the match, and Alex Michelsen won 6-4 6-4.
Alex Michelsen and Jesper De Jong meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Friday. Alex Michelsen is 8-2 across recent matches. Jesper De Jong limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Michelsen win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alex Michelsen | Jesper De Jong |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.3% | 57.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 70% | 72.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51% | 48.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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