US Open · R16 · Hard · best of 5 · Sep 6, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC
Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 6, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Alex Michelsen won 7-6 6-4 6-4
We got this one right. Alex Michelsen was our 63% pick, and won 7-6 6-4 6-4.
Sunday's US Open round of 16 pits Alex Michelsen against Tomas Martin Etcheverry on hard. Alex Michelsen has won 7 of the last 10. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 4-6 across recent matches.
Alex Michelsen simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Michelsen — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alex Michelsen
1968
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1806
Overall rating
Alex Michelsen
1957
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1845
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alex Michelsen
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1st serve in
66.2%
64.7%
1st serve points won
69.9%
71.2%
2nd serve points won
50.8%
51%
Form
Alex Michelsen
7–3
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry at US Open?
Alex Michelsen won 7-6 6-4 6-4.
Was the Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction correct?
We got this one right. Alex Michelsen was our 63% pick, and won 7-6 6-4 6-4.