Saturday's Estoril semifinal pits Alexander Blockx against Luciano Darderi on clay. Alexander Blockx is 6-4 across recent matches. Luciano Darderi comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
The serve is where this match separates: Blockx has been winning 76.2% of first-serve points to Darderi's 70.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Blockx is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Blockx | Luciano Darderi |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 58.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 76.2% | 70.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.8% | 52.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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