Monday's US Open first round pits Alexander Blockx against Tomas Barrios Vera on hard. Alexander Blockx has won 4 of the last 10. Tomas Barrios Vera is searching for form, having lost 7 in a row (2 of the last 10).
The serve is where this match separates: Blockx has been winning 74.3% of first-serve points to Vera's 64.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Blockx should have enough here, though Vera has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Blockx | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.3% | 64.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50% | 50.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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