Geneva · QF · Clay · best of 3 · May 21, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC

Alexander Bublik vs. Arthur Rinderknech — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 21, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Alexander Bublik won 5-7 6-4 4-1 · May 22, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC

Graded: incorrect. We had Arthur Rinderknech at 62%, but Alexander Bublik won 5-7 6-4 4-1. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Thursday's Geneva quarterfinal pits Alexander Bublik against Arthur Rinderknech on clay. Arthur Rinderknech comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Alexander Bublik has won 5 of the last 10.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 2-2. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Bublik — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. The edge belongs to Rinderknech — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alexander Bublik

1724

Arthur Rinderknech

1702

Overall rating

Alexander Bublik

1868

Arthur Rinderknech

1823

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alexander Bublik	Arthur Rinderknech
1st serve in	59.2%	63.4%
1st serve points won	77.4%	74.4%
2nd serve points won	45.1%	50.1%

Form

Alexander Bublik

5–5

Arthur Rinderknech

5–5

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 2-2. On clay: 2-0 Alexander Bublik.

Full Bublik vs Rinderknech history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexander Bublik vs Arthur Rinderknech at Geneva?: Alexander Bublik won 5-7 6-4 4-1.
Was the Alexander Bublik vs Arthur Rinderknech prediction correct?: Graded: incorrect. We had Arthur Rinderknech at 62%, but Alexander Bublik won 5-7 6-4 4-1. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Bublik and Arthur Rinderknech?: The head-to-head is level at 2-2. On clay: 2-0 Alexander Bublik.