A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alexander Bublik goes up against Facundo Diaz Acosta in the Kitzbuhel round of 16. Alexander Bublik has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Facundo Diaz Acosta is 8-2 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The serve is where this match separates: Bublik has been winning 77.8% of first-serve points to Acosta's 67.4%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bublik fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Bublik | Facundo Diaz Acosta |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 63.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 77.8% | 67.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.8% | 50.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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