Saturday's Wimbledon round of 32 pits Alexander Bublik against Frances Tiafoe on grass. Alexander Bublik has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Frances Tiafoe brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.
The rivalry is dead level: 2-2 across 4 matches. On grass they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Bublik has been winning 77.4% of first-serve points to Tiafoe's 72.4%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Bublik should have enough here, though Tiafoe has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alexander Bublik | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.4% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 77.4% | 72.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.4% | 51.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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