French Open · R128 · Clay · best of 5 · May 26, 2026, 4:25 PM UTC

Alexander Bublik vs. Jan Lennard Struff — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 26, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Jan Lennard Struff won 7-5 6-7 6-4 7-5

A miss: Alexander Bublik at 63% lost to Jan Lennard Struff (7-5 6-7 6-4 7-5).

Tuesday's French Open first round pits Alexander Bublik against Jan Lennard Struff on clay. Alexander Bublik comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Jan Lennard Struff is 3-7 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Jan Lennard Struff, 4-3 across their 7 meetings with Alexander Bublik. On clay specifically it reads 3-0 Struff — worth more than the overall number this week.

Alexander Bublik is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Bublik around 63%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bublik.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alexander Bublik

1802

Jan Lennard Struff

1737

Overall rating

Alexander Bublik

1893

Jan Lennard Struff

1780

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alexander Bublik	Jan Lennard Struff
1st serve in	59.2%	56%
1st serve points won	77.4%	76.4%
2nd serve points won	45.1%	47.7%

Form

Alexander Bublik

5–5

Jan Lennard Struff

3–7

Head to head

Jan Lennard Struff leads the head-to-head 4-3. On clay: 3-0 Jan Lennard Struff.

Full Bublik vs Struff history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexander Bublik vs Jan Lennard Struff at French Open?: Jan Lennard Struff won 7-5 6-7 6-4 7-5.
Was the Alexander Bublik vs Jan Lennard Struff prediction correct?: A miss: Alexander Bublik at 63% lost to Jan Lennard Struff (7-5 6-7 6-4 7-5).
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Bublik and Jan Lennard Struff?: Jan Lennard Struff leads the head-to-head 4-3. On clay: 3-0 Jan Lennard Struff.